Equity Market declines in Perspective

Far from Unprecedented: Nine Selloffs Like this, and Nine Rebounds.

The Bloomberg article has much prettier graphs than I can do, but I can provide the view from a wonderful ski field in New Zealand, in the spirit of the Winter Olympics, Treble Cone near Wanaka.

150

 

So, since the beginning of the bull equity market run in 2009 there have been nine significant declines in global equities. On each occasion global equity markets have come back.

The nine episodes are outlined in the Table below. They make for interesting reading and are distant memories.

Now of course we maybe only partway through the decline of the current “correction” and it could be different this time i.e. no bounce

 

Market movements are in relation to the US S&P 500 Index.

Date Level of Decline Trigger
January 2016 -11% of three weeks Concerns over economic slowdown and mounting Chinese debt
August 2015 -11% over six sessions China’s shock devaluation of the Yuan
October 2014 -5.0% over week Spread of Ebola virus, concern over end of US Quantitative Easing and tensions in the Middle East
January 2014 -3.6% over the month Emerging markets equities and currencies sold down
October – November 2012 -7.2% US Election uncertainty between Obama and Romney
March – June 2012 ~-10.0% US Federal Reserve indicating it will likely hold back on further monetary Policy easing e.g. Quantitative Easing
July – August 2011 -17% US Credit downgrade and weaker than expected jobs report, Greece
January 2010 -8% Market correction uncertainty as to global growth outlook, particularly Europe
April – July 2010 -16% Similar reasons and the infamous flash crash
January 2018 -10.1% Rising longer dated interest rates, inflation concerns, Fed tightening, negative feedback loop of short volatility Products

 

Please see my Disclosure Statement

One thought on “Equity Market declines in Perspective

  1. Pingback: US Equity Market 9 Years of Advancement | Kiwi Investor Blog

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s